Free trading tools
Break-Even Win Rate Calculator
Find the win rate needed to break even for a given R:R.
Best for
Connecting R:R with required win rate.
What you get
Break-even win rate and margin above/below breakeven.
Not for
Replacing real trade data.
Formula
Break-even win rate equals risk divided by risk plus reward.
Example
At 2R reward, you need about 33.3% winners before fees to break even.
Hexaplan verdict
Good for checking if a strategy target is realistic.
How break-even win rate works
Break-even win rate shows how often a setup must win to avoid losing money before costs. Higher reward per win lowers the required win rate.
Fees and slippage raise the real break-even point.
How to use this calculator
- Enter average risk.
- Enter average reward.
- Review break-even win rate.
- Compare it with your real win rate.
- Add a buffer for fees and mistakes.
Common mistakes
- Ignoring fees.
- Using planned R:R instead of actual results.
- Assuming one winner covers all mistakes.
- Judging from too few trades.
- Forcing unrealistic targets.
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FAQ
Does a low break-even win rate guarantee profit?
No. You still need the strategy to hit targets often enough.
Should I use planned or actual R:R?
Actual results are better for reviews. Planned R:R is useful before entry.
Do fees change break-even?
Yes. Costs increase the win rate needed.